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Asian stocks falter as investors await key economic data and Fed signals

Asian stocks showed a cautious start to 2025, with Japan's markets notably declining as investors reacted to hawkish Federal Reserve comments and upcoming economic data. Japan's index fell 1.3%, pressured by weak automobile sector performance and a failed takeover of U.S. Steel by Nippon Steel. Meanwhile, South Korea's market surged 1.6% amid political turmoil, while China's stocks remained steady, focusing on anticipated fiscal stimulus to combat deflation and a struggling property market.

Chinese developers face ongoing destocking challenges as restructuring efforts continue

UBS forecasts that destocking among Chinese developers will continue into 2025, with BEKE and CR Land identified as preferred entities. Meanwhile, Logan Group has reached an agreement with creditors on a holistic restructuring proposal for its offshore debt, totaling over $8 billion. In Henan, the satisfaction rate for 'whitelisted' real estate project financing was reported at 88% last year, with a loan scale exceeding RMB 120 billion.

Asian markets poised for gains as Wall Street rebounds from losses

Asian equities are set to rise following a rebound on Wall Street, where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 ended a five-day losing streak, driven by renewed demand for tech stocks. Australian shares and futures for Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Singapore showed gains, while Japan's market declined. Investor interest in stocks signals a return to risk appetite, particularly in tech, as evidenced by Hon Hai Precision Industry's strong revenue report, indicating robust demand for AI infrastructure. Key economic data from China, Thailand, and Vietnam is expected, alongside interest rate decisions from Israel's central bank.

China's Interest Rate Cut Expected to Boost Bitcoin Prices in 2025

Arthur Hayes predicts a significant rally for Bitcoin in 2025, driven by China's anticipated interest rate cuts and the US Federal Reserve's low rate regime. The People's Bank of China's recent dovish policy aims to counter deflation and stimulate credit demand, potentially boosting cryptocurrency prices. Following the Fed's rate cut in September, Bitcoin surged past $60,000, highlighting its appeal amid global fiat debasement.

innovent biologics and roche partner on billion dollar oncology drug development

Innovent Biologics has entered a billion-dollar collaboration with Roche to develop IBI3009, a DLL3-targeted antibody drug conjugate for advanced small cell lung cancer. The agreement grants Roche exclusive global rights, with Innovent receiving an $80 million upfront payment and potential milestone payments up to $1 billion. IBI3009 has shown promising anti-tumor activity and a favorable safety profile in preclinical models.

chinese stocks face uncertainty amid policy shifts and economic challenges

Chinese equities are expected to remain volatile as investors await concrete fiscal policies to combat deflation and stimulate corporate earnings. Despite a 15% gain in the CSI 300 Index in 2024, uncertainty persists, with analysts predicting mixed outcomes for 2025 amid geopolitical tensions and potential US tariff hikes. The government's commitment to support the economy is noted, but effective measures are crucial for a sustainable recovery.

apple stock declines amid china discounting and bearish outlook from ubs

Apple's stock fell 2.62% at the start of 2025, influenced by a bearish UBS outlook and iPhone discounting in China, which could impact margins. The downgrade reflects concerns over iPhone sales momentum amid market saturation and competition, with revised estimates for December unit sales and revenue below consensus expectations. Despite the dip, Apple maintains a strong market position, supported by growth in services and wearables.

ubs advises caution for chinese investors amid tariff concerns and weak consumption

UBS Global Wealth Management advises Chinese investors to adopt a defensive strategy amid weak consumption and looming tariff increases from the U.S. President-elect Trump. Investors are encouraged to seek stocks with dividends over 6%, particularly in the banking, utilities, and energy sectors, as the CSI 300 Index faces significant declines.Despite government stimulus efforts, concerns about economic stability persist, prompting the Chinese government to issue ultra-long special treasury bonds to support consumer product programs and major projects. Meanwhile, bond yields have reached historic lows, with the 10-year government bond yield falling below 1.6%.

ubs advises caution for chinese stock investors amid rising volatility

Chinese stock investors are advised to adopt a defensive strategy amid weak consumption and rising volatility due to impending higher tariffs from Donald Trump. UBS recommends focusing on stocks with dividend yields above 6%, particularly in sectors like banks, utilities, and energy, as the market faces economic uncertainties and falling bond yields. The government plans to issue more ultra-long special treasury bonds to support trade programs and major projects in response to these challenges.

China investigates beef import impacts on domestic industry and prices

China is investigating whether protective measures are needed for its beef industry due to a significant rise in imports, which have increased by 106% in early 2024 compared to 2019. This surge has led to a 22% drop in domestic beef prices, pressuring local producers. Meanwhile, Brazil, the main beef supplier to China, is concerned and plans to defend its exporters' interests.
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